Senator Shehu Sani has predicted a sweeping victory for President Bola Tinubu within the 2027 elections if opposition events fail to unite beneath a coalition.
Sani, a former lawmaker and chieftain of the All Progressives Congress (APC), stated on Thursday, Might 8, that current defections into the ruling social gathering and inside divisions throughout the opposition signalled hassle forward for Atiku Abubakar’s proposed alliance.
“There isn’t a method you possibly can evict a ruling social gathering with out a coalition,” Sani informed journalists in Abuja. “It’s solely on that foundation that the opposition political events can sacrifice their very own particular person and slim political pursuits and ambition for the overall good of democracy within the nation.”
He famous that the Social Democratic Party (SDP), Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Labour Party, and New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) have thus far distanced themselves from any alliance talks.
“If the opposition events will go to the battle with out an alliance, merger or any type of coalition, there isn’t any doubt about it, that APC could have a landslide victory within the 2027 election,” he stated.
“But when they arrive collectively, they’ll win many seats and can make a really sturdy impression within the political realm. They misplaced the 2023 election due to lack of unity, and they’re more likely to lose this election in the event that they refuse to come back collectively.
“If the opposition events refuse to come back collectively and type an alliance or coalition, it’s a achieved deal for us (APC).”
He added that ideology performs little position in social gathering loyalty in Nigeria, which explains the benefit of defections.
“Events are merely automobiles for folks to comprehend their very own political ambitions. In case you have a look at all of the manifestos of the social gathering, all of them look alike.
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“So, anyone can transfer from any social gathering to a different social gathering with out shedding something. And the one factor is that the social gathering differs from one another by their names and never by their very own ideology or philosophy,” he stated.
Sani argued that the blame for mass defections doesn’t lie with Tinubu or the APC.
“If a celebration is shut down in opposition to you, there’s no method you possibly can proceed to operate in that social gathering. So, it’s not the issue of Asiwaju to guard opposition social gathering and to be sure that folks don’t migrate away from them, it’s the opposition social gathering themselves that have to persuade and shield their members from transferring to different political events,” he stated.
In accordance with him, the implosion throughout the PDP, specifically, is driving its members into the APC.
“A one-party state is a state the place you’ve a regulation that prescribes one social gathering, however it is a multi social gathering democracy, and many of the the explanation why persons are residing within the opposition social gathering, isn’t pull again components, however push components,” he stated.
“They’ve been pushed away due to inside disaster, the inner disaster within the PDP, and their lack of ability to resolve it led to the state of affairs the place we’re immediately, as a result of it is a social gathering that has about two nationwide secretaries.
“The Supreme Courtroom gave judgment, however that judgment was neither right here nor there. So if in case you have a celebration that has a management drawback.
“The hazard of you staying there may be that the time for major elections will come and you’ll have two factions laying declare to it. So from which of the factions are you going to gather type and fill?
“So there’s a chance of extra defections away from the PDP, as a result of a primary time governor within the PDP is not going to be certain whether or not he can be given a ticket, a senator in PDP is not going to additionally be certain whether or not he’ll get the ticket. So these are the components that we have now now, and I don’t suppose it’s going to alter within the foreseeable future.”
