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China in big trouble, brought to its knees for first time in 6 months as…, why it’s a big opportunity for India, what is this all about?

China’s economy is once again showing signs of slowing down. Despite strong exports and rising factory-gate prices, weak domestic demand has affected the earnings of Chinese companies. Industrial profit growth slowed for the first time in six months, raising fresh concerns about the country’s economic recovery. While this could create challenges for India, it may also open up new opportunities.

According to data released by China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), industrial profits in May 2026 increased by 21.1% compared to the same month last year. Although this is still a positive figure, it is lower than the 24.7% growth recorded in April, showing that the pace of recovery is slowing.

A Bloomberg report said that industrial profits between January and May 2026 grew by 18.8%, slightly below Bloomberg Economics’ estimate of 19%. This slowdown comes as a surprise because China had recently emerged from more than three years of factory deflation, and producer prices in May rose at their fastest pace since 2022.

Why are Chinese companies earning less?

Experts say strong global demand for advanced manufacturing products, driven by heavy investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and rising energy demand linked to the West Asia crisis, helped Chinese exports. However, weak domestic spending and lower investment inside China reduced overall corporate earnings. Strong export performance was not enough to offset the weakness in the local market.

Between January and May 2026, Chinese industrial firms earned 3.14 trillion yuan (around $462 billion). However, profits remain well below the levels seen in 2022. The sharp rise in May also comes after industrial profits had fallen by 9.1% during the same period last year, making this year’s growth look stronger due to a lower base.

How could India benefit from China’s slowdown?

China’s weak domestic demand could lead companies to sell excess products such as steel, electronics, and chemicals in foreign markets at lower prices. This could increase competition for Indian manufacturers. However, the Indian government can use anti-dumping duties if cheap imports begin hurting local industries.

First published on: Jun 28, 2026 10:48 AM IST



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